Varying-Coefficient Stochastic Differential Equations with Applications in Ecology

نویسندگان

چکیده

Abstract Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are popular tools to analyse time series data in many areas, such as mathematical finance, physics, and biology. They provide a mechanistic description of the phenomenon interest, their parameters often have clear interpretation. These advantages come at cost requiring relatively simple model specification. We propose flexible for SDEs with time-varying dynamics where process nonparametric functions covariates, similar generalized additive models. Combining SDE approaches allows capture more detailed, non-stationary, features data-generating process. present computationally efficient method approximate inference, can vary according fixed covariate effects, random or basis-penalty smoothing splines. demonstrate versatility utility this approach three applications ecology, there is modelling trade-off between interpretability flexibility. Supplementary materials accompanying paper appear online.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Agricultural Biological and Environmental Statistics

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['1085-7117', '1537-2693']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13253-021-00450-6